I remember the general election of 1997... There was a very close call in one of the constituencies... (I'm thinking Winchester?? Certainly somewhere in the south west).
if I remember correctly the lib dems won by just a handful of votes, just 2 or 3. The loosing conservative candidate kicked up a bit of a fuss, and eventually succeeded in getting a bye-election held...
Which the Lib Dems went on to win by a margin of about 15,000 votes.
The story that one opinion poll said that 'Yes' was ahead (albeit within the margin) seems to have come at just the right time. Reports from around Scotland suggest that the 'No' voters have been galvanised by the threat posed by Salmond.
I've even seen talk of postal voters regretting that they've already sent off a 'Yes' vote now that the truth is out.
I'm sorry if that disappoints Blackhat's hope for a close run thing.
I'm wondering what the turnout will be. Even with say an 80% turnout if the vote is just over 50% either way this will mean that only 40% of the people will have made the decision. For something this important I feel that only a turnout above say 80% should have any standing and an overall majority rather than a simple majority should be required. I know this flies in the face of accepted convention in elections but this isn't an election as such and different rules could apply.
Realistically, if it was down to only a few votes, the count of which would vary on every recount, could a call for a change have a look in if the answer kept varying between yes/no by 3 or 4 votes? Would the status quo have to prevail in that scenario?