In about two weeks time Parliament will be dissolved, and the electioneering will build to a fever pitch. It is set to be one of the most interesting General elections for a long time.
I thought it might be interesting to ask you to make a forecast of what you think the end result will be in terms of our new government. What I had in mind is a forecast, not of what you would like to happen, but what you think will happen.
The aim is to avoid any party-political bickering, and there are no prizes for the person who gets closest to the actual outcome; just the personal satisfaction of having got it right.
While the Lib Dems will jump into bed with anybody who offers them a ministerial limousine, I don't think there'll be enough of them left to form an effective coalition.
I don't think UKIP will do quite as well as the doomsayers suggest, and if the Sots Nats do actually end up with sufficient seats to hold a balance of power Nicola Sturgeon has already expressed reservations about a coalition, but favours support (for Labour, the Tories are an absolute anathema)on a "case by case" basis.
Question dodging or no, Fruit Bat /\0/\'s answer is likely to be the most accurate!
For the first time all the pundits seem to agree that the old two party 'out turn', 'your turn now' system is over and that we will see mainly compromise coalitions throughout this century.
I've been unimpressed with the present coalition, but I wouldn't have wanted either of the major two to have goverened carte blanche. Nor would I again, so we need the major parties to bend their heads around the concept of coalitions and accept it rather than treating it as government with an interfering and unwelcome guest that keeps sticking their oar in.